Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.313293 5.131767 6.041799 7.125573 8.377854 9.776039 11.451842
2025-09-07 3.100083 4.141963 5.419189 7.087430 9.194693 11.752608 15.075248
2025-09-14 2.253243 3.325839 4.754062 6.767904 9.502290 13.049300 17.955046
2025-09-21 1.781004 2.864549 4.412627 6.739754 10.092686 14.681731 21.353765
2025-09-28 1.441850 2.506640 4.126993 6.704200 10.613812 16.216333 24.713589
2025-10-05 1.287906 2.393026 4.167047 7.124897 11.806727 18.771833 29.702307
2025-10-12 1.123664 2.226024 4.088216 7.334270 12.679952 20.912357 34.241369
2025-10-19 1.005939 2.114257 4.075988 7.635998 13.710490 23.356666 39.410094
2025-10-26 0.864128 1.929344 3.906080 7.640964 14.242240 25.046079 43.515558
2025-11-02 0.712719 1.694684 3.608106 7.375408 14.275344 25.914866 46.352198
2025-11-09 0.590168 1.493167 3.338710 7.120014 14.285747 26.725893 49.126723
2025-11-16 0.515529 1.379501 3.222309 7.133613 14.770873 28.365622 53.385807
2025-11-23 0.450244 1.275902 3.114964 7.159231 15.295194 30.140802 58.056314
2025-11-30 0.386075 1.161061 2.965852 7.080641 15.611438 31.568654 62.223561
2025-12-07 0.314871 1.011171 2.713664 6.749985 15.392922 31.993189 64.614828
2025-12-14 0.273491 0.930606 2.607121 6.718545 15.769635 33.549757 69.167303
2025-12-21 0.237819 0.857182 2.505082 6.682102 16.128005 35.090746 73.783087
2025-12-28 0.228718 0.860714 2.595501 7.101269 17.493203 38.687688 82.515451
2026-01-04 0.210567 0.831837 2.597685 7.309935 18.416806 41.466338 89.832049
2026-01-11 0.197827 0.817477 2.636127 7.610750 19.569676 44.780130 98.381160
2026-01-18 0.175366 0.764452 2.560022 7.615694 20.051618 46.748408 104.377839
2026-01-25 0.147119 0.682608 2.387779 7.350914 19.882526 47.344171 107.648210
2026-02-01 0.123403 0.609853 2.228195 7.096271 19.708357 47.908909 110.877378